How we think the teams will line-up in Melbourne

melbourne

All the talking is almost  over and we can now finally get down to business.   Just for a little bit of fun, we are going to predict how we think things will go down in Melbourne and look at the main aims for Manor Race Team over the weekend.

The technical rules in F1 from 2015 remain pretty much the same for 2016 which means we shouldn’t really see any massive jumps in performance with the exception of Manor who ran a 2014 car in 15.   If a team say Sauber, was all of a sudden was worrying Mercedes then they will be off to the scrutineers almost immediately.  If it looks too good to be true in F1, it probably is.    Unless the rules change dramatically or there is an enforced budget cap, there will be no Leicester City style story in F1 which is much to the determent to the sport.

After taking into account how teams finished 2014 and attending pre-season testing.   This is how we think the teams will line-up in Melbourne after qualifying.   Needless to say we don’t think they will line-up two by two, F1 is not that boring, yet.   There will likely be qualifying performance differences between team mates and we expect Vettel, Magnussen, Grosjean and Wehrlein to out-perform their team mates.

These are just our predictions, a bit of fun.

  1. Mercedes
  2. Ferrari
  3. Williams
  4. Force India
  5. Torro Rosso
  6. Red Bull
  7. McLaren
  8. Haas
  9. Renault
  10. Sauber
  11. Manor

We had to think hard about position 3 and 4.  We are really impressed by Force India and the progression they make each year.   We think it will be a close run thing between them all season.     We have opted to put Torro Rosso ahead of Red Bull in Melbourne but we expect that to close all season with the later probably just edging it.

We were highly encouraged by the performance of MRT during the pre-season and as we have stated many times, we do expect this to be our best season yet.   Whilst the gap has definitely close to the rest, a gap still remains.   This should not necessarily mean that points are not possible.  Typically Melbourne sees a lot of DNF’s which means that the smaller teams do tend to score points there.  I’d be more encouraged if we had completed a race distance or two over pre-season testing.

We should also take into account that our two pilots are competing in their first ever F1 race.  A race finish and a qualifying gap of 0.5-0.8 to our nearest competitors would be a great weekend for Manor.